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Roger M. Cooke
Chauncey Starr Senior Fellow
Roger Cooke joined Resources for the Future in September 2005 as the first appointee to the Chauncey Starr Chair in Risk Analysis. His research has widely influenced risk assessment methodology, particularly in the areas of expert judgment and uncertainty analysis. He is recognized as one of the world's leading authorities on mathematical modeling of risk and uncertainty. His recent research has encompassed health risks from oil fires in Kuwait following the first Gulf War, chemical weapons disposal, nuclear risk, nitrogen oxide emissions, and microbiological risk. His current research interests include structured expert judgment methodologies and uncertainty analysis, and his work focuses on the implementation of uncertainty analysis in policy-related decisionmaking.  
Featured Publications
Uncertainty Analysis Comes to Integrated Assessment Models for Climate Change...and Conversely
Roger M. Cooke
Climatic Change | April 2013 | Vol. 117, Issue 3 | 467-479
Fat-Tailed Distributions: Data, Diagnostics, and Dependence
Roger M. Cooke, Daan Nieboer, Jolanta Misiewicz
RFF Discussion Paper 11-19-REV | September 2011
The Unholy Trinity: Fat Tails, Tail Dependence, and Micro-Correlations
Carolyn Kousky, Roger M. Cooke
RFF Discussion Paper 09-36-REV | November 2009
Model uncertainty in economic impacts of climate change: Bernoulli versus Lotka Volterra dynamics
Roger M. cooke
Integrated Environmental Assessment and Management | January 2013 | Vol. 9, Issue 1 | pp. 2-6
The Limits of Securitization: Micro-correlations, Fat Tails and Tail Dependence
C. Kousky and R.M. Cooke
Rethinking Risk Measurement and Reporting: Volume I | Klaus Boecker (ed) | London: Risk Books | 2011
View All Related Publications
Inside RFF: A Look at What's Happening
Carolyn Kousky, Allen Blackman, Daniel Shawhan, Ariel Ortiz-Bobea, Roger M. Cooke, Margaret A. Walls, Molly K. Macauley
Resources | 2014 (185)
Inside RFF
Molly K. Macauley, Alan J. Krupnick, Yusuke Kuwayama , Carolyn Kousky, Elisheba Beia Spiller, Roger M. Cooke, James W. Boyd, Jintao Xu, Jared Carbone, James Smith, W. Reed Walker, Michael Madowitz, Alison Sexton, Junjie Zhang
Resources | 2012 (179)
Inside RFF
Hilary Sigman, Molly K. Macauley, Roger A. Sedjo, Paul R. Portney, Nigel Purvis, Abigail Jones, Leonard A. Shabman, Roger M. Cooke, Althea Davies, Maureen L. Cropper
Resources | Summer 2011 (178)
Resources Magazine
Joseph E. Aldy, John W. Anderson, Lynann Butkiewicz, Mark A Cohen, Roger M. Cooke, Arthur G. Fraas, Madeline Gottlieb, Kristin Hayes, Carolyn Kousky, Joshua Linn, Molly K. Macauley, Richard D. Morgenstern, Daniel F. Morris, Timothy Murphy, Nigel Purvis, Leslie Richardson, Nathan Richardson, Heather L. Ross, P. Lynn Scarlett, Adam Stern, Andrew R Stevenson
Resources | Winter/Spring 2011 (177)
Preventing Offshore Oil Spill
Roger M. Cooke, Heather L. Ross, Adam Stern
Resources | Winter/Spring 2011 (177)
Using Bayesian Belief Nets for Managing Climate Risk in Long-Lived Water Infrastructure Projects
Roger Cooke, Carolyn Kousky
Background paper for the World Bank
Adapting to Extreme Events: Managing Fat Tails
Carolyn Kousky, Roger M. Cooke
Issue Brief 10-12 | May 2010
Climate Dependencies and Risk Management: Microcorrelations and Tail Dependence
Roger M. Cooke, Carolyn Kousky
Issue Brief 10-13 | May 2010
Are Catastrophes Insurable?
Roger M. Cooke, Carolyn Kousky
Resources | Summer 2009 (172)
A Brief History of Quantitative Risk Assessment
Roger M. Cooke
Resources | Summer 2009 (172)
Resources 172 - Summer 2009
Phil Sharp, Roger M. Cooke, Carolyn Kousky, J. Clarence Davies, Sandra A. Hoffmann
Resources | Summer 2009 (172)
What the Feds Can Do about Hurricanes
Roger Cooke and Carolyn Kousky
St. Petersburg Times | May 31, 2009
Expert judgment study for placement ladder bowtie
Kurowicka, D., Cooke, R.M. Goossens, L. and Ale, B.J.M.
Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk | Taylor and Francis Group, London | ISBN 0-415-41620-56 p. 21-27
Quantification with imperfect data from different sources
Kurowicka, D., Cooke, R.M., Goossens, L. and Ale, B.J.M.
Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk | Taylor and Francis Group, London | 2006 | ISBN 0-415-41620-56 p. 897-904
Causal modeling in the aviation industry: an application for controlled flight into terrain
Morales-Napoles, O., Hanea, A. Kurowicka, D., and Cooke, R.M.
Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk | Taylor and Francis Group, London | 2006 | ISBN 0-415-41620-56 p. 1831-1838
Safety assessment of ATC-wake singly runway departures
Speijker, L.J.P., Vidal, A., Cooke R.M.
Safety and Reliability for Managing Risk | Taylor and Francis Group, London | 2006 | ISBN 0-415-41620-56 p. 1851-1861
We Just Blasted $1 Billion into Space. Was It worth It?
Tuesday, February 17, 2015
Bloomberg Business
Study measures how well Asian carp prevention effort will work
Wednesday, January 29, 2014
Notre Dame News
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